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نقش غرب در بحرانهای 2014 و 2022 اوکراین و طولانیشدن آنها | ||
مطالعات اوراسیای مرکزی | ||
دوره 17، شماره 2، اسفند 1403، صفحه 463-490 اصل مقاله (955.08 K) | ||
نوع مقاله: مقاله پژوهشی | ||
شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.22059/jcep.2024.377585.450230 | ||
نویسندگان | ||
سعید وثوقی1؛ علی موسائی* 2 | ||
1دانشیار روابط بینالملل، گروه علوم سیاسی، دانشکدۀ اقتصاد و علوم اداری، دانشگاه اصفهان، اصفهان، ایران | ||
2دانش آموختۀ دکتری روابط بینالملل، دانشکدۀ اقتصاد و علوم اداری، دانشگاه اصفهان، اصفهان، ایران | ||
چکیده | ||
از زمان رخداد بحران 2014 و حملۀ نظامی روسیه به اوکراین در 24 فوریۀ 2022، پژوهشگران تلاش کردهاند دلایل ایجاد این بحرانها را واکاوی کنند و به نتایج متفاوتی دستیافتهاند. گروهی علت شکلگیری بحرانهای 2014 و 2022 اوکراین را تلاش روسیه برای جلوگیری از گسترش اتحادیۀ اروپا و ناتو و هممرزشدن آنها با این کشور دانستهاند. گروهی دیگر، علت ایجاد این بحرانها را به تمایل روسیه به قدرتیابی و بازگشت به بزرگی دوران شوروی و سیاستهای غربگرایانۀ اوکراین مربوط دانستهاند. در این نوشتار میخواهیم از دیدگاهی دیگر به این پرسش پاسخ دهیم. هدف اصلی این نوشتار، یافتن پاسخ این پرسش است که غرب چه نقشی در ایجاد بحرانهای 2014 و 2022 اوکراین و طولانیشدن آنها داشته است؟ در پاسخ، این فرضیه مطرح میشود که غرب با سه راهبرد طعمهگذاری، موازنهسازی و مداخلههای جانبدارانه زمینه را برای ایجاد بحرانهای 2014 و 2022 اوکراین و طولانیشدن آنها فراهم کرده است، تا از این راه از قدرتیابی روسیه جلوگیری کند. یافتههای نویسندگان نشان میدهد که اوکراین همواره از زمان استقلال، ابزاری در دست غرب بوده است تا با استفاده از آن روسیه را تضعیف کند و برای رسیدن به این هدف از سه راهبرد طعمهگذاری، موازنهسازی و مداخلهجویی هدفمند استفاده شده است. در این نوشتار از روش کیفی مطالعۀ موردی چندگانه بهره گرفتهایم. دادهها نیز به با استفاده از منابع کتابخانهای گردآوری و با رویکردی توصیفیتحلیلی در بستر نظریۀ واقعگرایی تهاجمی تجزیهوتحلیل شده است. | ||
کلیدواژهها | ||
مداخلهجویی؛ طعمهگذاری؛ موازنهسازی بحران؛ واقعگرایی تهاجمی؛ اوکراین | ||
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