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Naseri, Ayaz Khan, Shahnoushi, Naser, Dourandish, Arash, Nematollahi, Zahra, Kiani Feyzabad, Zahra. (1403). Influence of Foreign Remittances on Afghanistan's Food Security Using a CGE Model. , (), -. doi: 10.22059/ier.2024.373567.1007960
Ayaz Khan Naseri; Naser Shahnoushi; Arash Dourandish; Zahra Nematollahi; Zahra Kiani Feyzabad. "Influence of Foreign Remittances on Afghanistan's Food Security Using a CGE Model". , , , 1403, -. doi: 10.22059/ier.2024.373567.1007960
Naseri, Ayaz Khan, Shahnoushi, Naser, Dourandish, Arash, Nematollahi, Zahra, Kiani Feyzabad, Zahra. (1403). 'Influence of Foreign Remittances on Afghanistan's Food Security Using a CGE Model', , (), pp. -. doi: 10.22059/ier.2024.373567.1007960
Naseri, Ayaz Khan, Shahnoushi, Naser, Dourandish, Arash, Nematollahi, Zahra, Kiani Feyzabad, Zahra. Influence of Foreign Remittances on Afghanistan's Food Security Using a CGE Model. , 1403; (): -. doi: 10.22059/ier.2024.373567.1007960

Influence of Foreign Remittances on Afghanistan's Food Security Using a CGE Model

Iranian Economic Review
مقالات آماده انتشار، پذیرفته شده، انتشار آنلاین از تاریخ 16 آبان 1403
نوع مقاله: Research Paper
شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.22059/ier.2024.373567.1007960
نویسندگان
Ayaz Khan Naseri1؛ Naser Shahnoushi2؛ Arash Dourandish* 3؛ Zahra Nematollahi4؛ Zahra Kiani Feyzabad3
1Department of Agriculture Economics and Extension, University of Kabul, Kabul, Afghanistan.
2Department of Agricultural Economics, Faculty of Agriculture, Ferdowsi University of Mashhad, Mashhad, Iran.
3Department of Agricultural Economics, Faculty of Agriculture, University of Tehran, Karaj, Iran.
4Department of Nature Engineering, Shirvan Faculty of Agriculture, University of Bojnord, Shirvan, Iran.
چکیده
The study utilizes a general equilibrium model and Afghanistan's social accounting matrix data to assess the impact of foreign remittances on food availability and access in Afghanistan, evaluate macroeconomic factors influenced by these remittances, and recommend agricultural-based policies for economic growth. The study focuses on the responses to a 60% drop in foreign remittances and a 20% surge in the volume of remittances abroad. It delves into the correlation between the domestic production of agriculture sub-sectors and the foreign remittance variable. Reducing foreign remittances leads to lower domestic production across all agriculture sectors, but this reverses when remittances swell, except for cereals. In the rising scenario, production of all agricultural categories rose except cereals. The study confirmed a fall in household consumption in all agricultural sectors except for cereals, due to a decline in foreign remittances. A 60% decline in foreign remittances has led to a nearly 7% decrease in cereal imports and a 15% decrease in exports. The study suggests that a 60% drop in foreign remittances negatively impacts food availability and accessibility, while a 20% rise in foreign remittances positively influences agricultural exports. It suggests the government should increase investment in agriculture, use skilled immigrants as scientific capital, and encourage sustainable agriculture investment.
کلیدواژه‌ها
Domestic Production؛ Employment؛ Exports؛ Household’s Consumption؛ Imports
آمار
تعداد مشاهده مقاله: 223





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