تعداد نشریات | 161 |
تعداد شمارهها | 6,533 |
تعداد مقالات | 70,514 |
تعداد مشاهده مقاله | 124,131,198 |
تعداد دریافت فایل اصل مقاله | 97,237,458 |
Does Credit Risk across Different Sizes of Banking Industry Matter for the Stability of Banks in Iran: A Panel Threshold Regression Approach | ||
Iranian Economic Review | ||
دوره 28، شماره 3، آذر 2024، صفحه 1050-1085 اصل مقاله (1.19 M) | ||
نوع مقاله: Research Paper | ||
شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.22059/ier.2024.350316.1007568 | ||
نویسنده | ||
Davoud Mahmoudinia* | ||
Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Vali-e-Asr University of Rafsanjan, Rafsanjan, Iran | ||
چکیده | ||
This paper explores the association between credit risk and different types of bank stability based on Z-score across various bank size regimes by employing a panel threshold regression and an extensive dataset of 20 banking industries in Iran’s economy over the 2005–2020 period, although the choice of the starting and ending dates was based on the availability of data. The core finding is that in many cases, under all three measures of bank stability, credit risk at different threshold levels of bank scales has a positive impact on the z-score for all banks. In addition, we observed that the coefficients of other control variables including bank size, rate of return, liquidity risk, and funding risk on banking stability were based on our expectations. Moreover, the results revealed that the correlation between credit risk and bank stability was not homogenous, depending on whether the bank was state or private. Besides these, we found that for the state banking system in Iran, a concentration-stability view could be proved in the sense that larger banks may enhance profits. Based on the empirical evidence obtained, the findings offer some important implications for Iran’s policymakers. | ||
کلیدواژهها | ||
Bank Size؛ Credit Risk؛ Iran؛ Panel Threshold Regression؛ Z-Score | ||
مراجع | ||
Adusei, M. (2015). Bank Profitability: Insights from the Rural Banking Industry in Ghana. Cogent Economics & Finance, 3(1), 1-15. Akram, V., & Narayan Rath, B. (2020). Optimum Government Size and Economic Growth in Case of Indian States: Evidence from Panel Threshold Model. Economic Modelling, 88, 151-162. Ali, M., & Puah, C. H. (2018). Does Bank Size and Funding Risk Effect Banks’ Stability? A Lesson from Pakistan. Global Business Review, 19(5), 1166-1186. Al-Shboul, M., Maghyereh, A., Hassan, A., & Molyneux, P. (2020). Political Risk and Bank Stability in the Middle East and North Africa Region. Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 60, [101291]. Altaee, H. H. A., Talo, I. M. A., & Adam, M. H. M. (2013). Testing the Financial Stability of Banks in GCC Countries: Pre and Post Financial Crisis. International Journal of Business and Social Research (IJBSR), 3(4), 93-105. Amara, T., & Mabrouki, T. (2019). Impact of Liquidity and Credit Risks on the Bank Stability. Journal of Smart Economic Growth, 4(2), 97-116. Arellano, M., & Bover, O. (1995). Another Look at Instrumental Variable Estimation of Error-Component Models. Journal of Econometrics, 68, 29-51. Asadi, Z., Yavari, K., & Heydari, H. (2020). The Study of the Effects of Liquidity and Credit Risk on Bank Stability in Iran Using the Z-Score Index. The Journal of Economic Policy, 12(23), 1-31. Athanasoglou, P., Brissimis, S., & Delis, D. (2005). Bank Specific, Industry Specific & Macroeconomic Determinants of Bank Profitability. Bank of Greece Working Paper, 25, 21-25. Balcilar, M., Tokar, B., & Godwin, O. L. (2020). Examining the Interactive Growth Effect of Development Aid and Institutional Quality in Sub-Saharan Africa. Journal of Development Effectiveness, 12(4), 361-376. Beck, T., Demirguc-Kunt, A., & Levine, R. (2006). Bank Supervision and Corruption in Lending. Journal of Monetary Economics, 53(8), 2131-2163. Blundell, R., & Bond, S. (1998). Initial Conditions and Moment Conditions in Dynamic Panel Data Models. Journal of Econometrics, 87, 115-143. Boot, W. A., & Ratnovski, L. (2012). Banking and Trading. IMF Working Paper, Boyd, J. H., & Graham, S. L. (1988). The Profitability and Risk Effects of Allowing Bank Holding Companies to Merge with Other Financial Firms: A Simulation Study. Quarterly Review (Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis), 12, 3-20. Boyd, J., & Runkle, D. (1993). Size and Performance of Banking Firms: Testing the Predictions of Theory. Journal of Monetary Economics, 31(1), 47-67. Boyd, J. H., De Nicoló, G., & Smith, B. D. (2004). Crises in Competitive Versus Monopolistic Banking Systems. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 36, 487-506. Cecchetti, S. G., & Schoenholtz, K. L. (2011). Money, Banking, and Financial Markets (3rd Ed.). New York: McGraw-Hill Education. Chai, Z., Sadiq, M., Ali, N., Malik, M., & Raza Hamid, S. (2022). Bank Specific Risks and Financial Stability Nexus: Evidence from Pakistan. Frontiers in Psychology, 13, 1-6. Chattopadhyay, M., Kumar, A., Ali, S., & Kumar Mitra, S. (2021). Human Development and Tourism Growth’s Relationship across Countries: A Panel Threshold Analysis. Journal of Sustainable Tourism, 30(6), 1384-1402. Cole, R. A., & White, L. J. (2012). Déjà Vu all over again: the Causes of US Commercial Bank Failures this Time around. Journal of Financial Services Research, 42, 5-29. Curak, M., Poposki, K., & Pepur, S. (2012). Profitability Determinants of the Macedonian Banking Sector in Changing Environment. Procedia-Social and Behavioral Sciences, 44, 406-416. Dagher, J., Dell’Ariccia, G., Laeven, L., Ratnovski, L., & Tong, H. (2020). Bank Capital: A Seawall Approach. International Journal of Central Bank, 16, 249-291. deHaan, J., & Poghosyan, T. (2012). Size and Earnings Volatility of US Bank Holding Companies. Journal of Banking & Finance, 36, 3008-3016. Demirguç-Kunt, A., & Huizinga, H. (2010). Bank Activity and Funding Strategies: The Impact on Risk and Returns. Journal of Financial Economics, 98(3), 626-650. DeYoung, R., & Torna, G. (2013). Nontraditional Banking Activities and Bank Failures during the Financial Crisis. Journal of Financial Intermediation, 22, 397-421. DeYoung, R., & Karen, Y. (2016). Do Banks Actively Manage Their Liquidity? Journal of Banking & Finance, 66(c) 143-161. Dias, J., & Tebaldi, E. (2012). Institutions, Human Capital, and Growth: The Institutional Mechanism. Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, 23(3), 300-312. Djebali, N., & Zaghdoudi, K., (2020). Threshold Effects of Liquidity Risk and Credit Risk on Bank Stability in the MENA Region. Journal of Policy Modeling, 42(5), 1049-1063. Ghenimi, A., Chaibi, H., & Brahim Omri, M. (2017). The Effects of Liquidity Risk and Credit Risk on Bank Stability: Evidence from the MENA Region. Borsa Istanbul Review, 17(4), 238 -248. Hansen, B. E. (1999). Threshold Effects in Non-Dynamic Panels: Estimation, Testing, and Inference. Journal of Econometrics, 93, 345-368. Hansen, B. E. (2000). Sample Splitting and Threshold Estimation. Econometrica, 68, 575-603. Hoffmann, P. (2011). Determinants of the Profitability of the US Banking Industry. International Journal of Business and Social Science, 2, 22-45. Imbierowicz, B., & Rauch, C. (2014). The Relationship between Liquidity Risk and Credit Risk in Banks. Journal of Banking and Finance, 40, 242-256. Isavi, M., Tari, F., Ansari Samani, H., & Amozadeh, H. (2017). The Relationship between Stability Indicators and Technical Efficiency of Iranian Banks during the Years (2004-2016). Financial Economics, 12(44), 1-20. Kakes, J., & Nijskens, R. (2018). Size of the Banking Sector: Implications for Financial Stability. DeNederlandcheBank, Occasional Studies, 16(6), 1-58. Köhler, M. (2015). Which Banks Are More Risky? The Impact of Business Models on Bank Stability. Journal of Financial Stability, 16(C), 195-212. Kordmanjiri, S., Dadashi, I., Khoshnoud, Z & Gholamnia, H. (2019) Banks Credit Risk, with Emphasis on Audit Report of Legal Customers. Journal of Monetary and Banking Research, 12(41), 551-576. Kouhileilan, B., Dabagh, R., Kiaalhosseini, Z., & Rahbar, F. (2021). A Study of the Influence and Influence of Factors Affecting the Stability of the Banking System in Selected Countries of the Mena Region. Journal of Development and Capital, 6(1), 1-18. Laeven, L., Ratnovski, L., & Tong, H. (2014). Bank Size and Systemic Risk. IMF Staff Discussion Note, 14/04, 1-34. Mirzaei, A., Moore, T., & Liu, G. (2013) Does Market Structure Matter on Banks’ Profitability and Stability? Emerging vs. Advanced Economies. Journal of Banking & Finance, 37(2013), 2920-2937. Mishkin, F.S. (1999). Financial Consolidation: Dangers and Opportunities. Journal of Banking and Finance, 23, 675-691. Ng, J., & Roychowdhury, S. (2014). Do Loan Loss Reserves Behave Like Capital? Evidence from Recent Bank Failures. Review of Accounting Studies, 19, 1234-1279. Nguyen, M., Skully, M., & Perera, S. (2011). The Relationship between Bank Liquidity and Stability: Does Market Power Matter? Financial Risk Forum, 6394870(61), 1-43. Nguyen, T, C. (2021). Economic Policy Uncertainty and Bank Stability: Does Bank Regulation and Supervision Matter in Major European Economies? Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 74(2021), [101387]. Nikomaram, H., Taghavi, M., & Diman, S.K. (2013). The Relationship between Liquidity Risk and Credit Risk in Islamic Banking Industry of Iran Management. Science Letters, 3(2013), 1223-1232. Pham, T., Oanh Dao, L. K., & Nguyen, V. C. (2021). The Determinants of Bank’s Stability: A System GMM Panel Analysis. Cogent Business & Management, 8(1), [1963390]. Poustin Chi, M., Tahsili, H., & Karim Zadeh, M. (2016). The Effect of Competition in Banking on the Stability of Banks. Monetary and Financial Economics, 23(11), 123-145. Shabir, M., Jiang, P., Bakhsh, S., & Zhao, Z. (2021). Economic Policy Uncertainty and Bank Stability: Threshold Effect of Institutional Quality and Competition. Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 68, [101610]. Shahchera, M., & Norbakhsh, M. (2016). Size and Stability in the Iranian Banking System. Journal of Monetary and Banking Research, 9(29), 427-456. Shim, J. (2019). Loan Portfolio Diversification, Market Structure, and Bank Stability. Journal of Banking & Finance, 104, 103-115. Shleifer, A., & Vishny, W. (2010). Unstable Banking. Journal of Financial Economics, 97(3), 306-318. Shrawan, A., & Dubey, A. (2021). Technology Intensive Trade and Business Cycle Synchronization: Evidence from a Panel Threshold Regression Model for India. The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, 30(6), 906-929. Srairi, S. (2013). Ownership Structure and Risk-Taking Behavior in Conventional and Islamic Banks: Evidence for MENA Countries. Borsa Istanbul Review, 13(4), [115e127]. Stiroh, K., & Rumble, A. (2006). The Dark Side of Diversification: The Case of US Financial Holding Companies. Journal of Banking and Finance, 30, 2131-2161. Tankoyeva, V., Bazzana, F., & Gabriele, R. (2018). The Stability of the Financial System: An Analysis of the Determinants of Russian Bank Failures. In Research Handbook of Investing in the Triple Bottom Line (114-134). Cheltenham: Edward Elgar Publishing. Tian, S., Park, D., & Cagas, M, A. (2021). Bond Market Development and Bank Stability: Evidence from Emerging Markets. Research in International Business and Finance, 58(2021), [101498]. Uhde, A., & Heimeshoff, U. (2009). Consolidation in Banking and Financial Stability in Europe: Empirical Evidence. Journal of Banking and Finance, 33, 1299-1311. Urom, C., Yuni, D., Lasbrey, A & Emenekwe, C. (2019). Examining the NonLinearities in Inflation Growth Nexus: Further Evidence from a Fixed-Effect Panel Threshold Regression Approach for the Sacu Region. Studies in Economics and Econometrics, 43(3), 31-61. Valencia, F. (2016). Bank Capital and Uncertainty. Journal of Banking & Finance, 69, S1-S9. Vazquez, F., & Federico, P. (2015). Bank Funding Structures and Risk: Evidence from the Global Financial Crisis. Journal of Banking & Finance, 61, 1-14. Wang, Q., & Wang, L. (2021). The Nonlinear Effects of Population Aging, Industrial Structure, and Urbanization on Carbon Emissions: A Panel Threshold Regression Analysis of 137 Countries. Journal of Cleaner Production, 287(2021), [125381]. Zaghdoudi, K. (2019). The Effects of Risks on the Stability of Tunisian Conventional Banks. Asian Economic and Financial Review, 9(3), 389-401. | ||
آمار تعداد مشاهده مقاله: 74 تعداد دریافت فایل اصل مقاله: 69 |