تعداد نشریات | 161 |
تعداد شمارهها | 6,532 |
تعداد مقالات | 70,501 |
تعداد مشاهده مقاله | 124,113,539 |
تعداد دریافت فایل اصل مقاله | 97,217,320 |
پیش بینی نوسانات ضخامت معادل آب زیرزمینی با استفاده از اطلاعات ماهوارهای و ترکیب الگوریتم بهینهسازی و هوش مصنوعی | ||
تحقیقات آب و خاک ایران | ||
دوره 55، شماره 4، تیر 1403، صفحه 569-586 اصل مقاله (2.56 M) | ||
نوع مقاله: مقاله پژوهشی | ||
شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.22059/ijswr.2024.367628.669601 | ||
نویسندگان | ||
مهتاب بادکوبه هزاوه1؛ محسن نجارچی* 1؛ محمد رضا جلالی1؛ حسین مظاهری2؛ سعید شعبانلو3 | ||
1گروه مهندسی عمران، واحد اراک، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی ، اراک ، ایران | ||
2گروه مهندسی شیمی، واحد اراک، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی ، اراک ، ایران | ||
3گروه مهندسی آب، واحد کرمانشاه، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، کرمانشاه،ایران | ||
چکیده | ||
طی سالیان اخیر استفاده از اطلاعات ماهوارهای مختلف توانسته است بهعنوان یک راهکار قابل اطمینان مورد توجه قرار گیرد. هدف از این تحقیق پیشبینی نوسانات ضخامت معادل آب زیرزمینی با استفاده از اطلاعات ماهواره GRACE و مدلسازی آن با استفاده از ترکیب الگوریتم بهینهسازی و هوش مصنوعی است. منطقه مطالعاتی این تحقیق، حوضه آبریز دریاچه ارومیه واقع در شمالغربی ایران میباشد. بدین منظور از 180 داده ماهوارههای GRACE طی سالهای آوریل 2002 تا مارس 2017 استفاده شد. خروجی ماهوارهها شامل 6 پیکسل قرار گرفته بر روی حوضه انتخابی میباشد که 2 نقطه از آن که بیشترین همپوشانی را با محدوده حوضه داشتند برای مدلسازی با ابزار هوش مصنوعی انتخاب شدند. برای این کار از مدلهای ترکیبی GA-ANN، ICA-ANN و PSO-ANN استفاده شد. نتایج نشان داد خروجی مدل ICA-ANN دارای بهترین برازش با دادههای مشاهداتی با ضریب همبستگی برابر با 915/0 و 942/0 در دو پیکسل انتخابی 2 و 5 در مرحله آزمون بود. لذا برای پیشبینی نوسانات ضخامت معادل آب زیرزمینی در منطقه مطالعاتی بجای استفاده از مدلهای پیچیده با حجم دادههای بسیار زیاد میتوان با اطمینان از مدل ICA-ANN استفاده کرد. این رویکرد کمک زیادی به محققین بخش آب زیرزمینی میکند تا بدون استفاده از مدلهای عددی با ساختار پیچیده و وقتگیر با استفاده از اطلاعات ماهوارهای و ابزار هوش مصنوعی با دقت بالا تغییرات ضخامت معادل آب زیرزمینی در هر ماه را بر اساس دادههای ضخامت معادل آب زیرزمینی در ماهواره GRACE مربوط به ماههای قبل پیشبینی نمایند. | ||
کلیدواژهها | ||
ضخامت معادل آب زیرزمینی؛ ماهواره GRACE؛ GA-ANN؛ ICA-ANN؛ PSO-ANN | ||
مراجع | ||
REFERENCESAmiri, S., Rajabi, A., Shabanlou, S., Yosefvand, F., & Izadbakhsh, M.A. (2023). Prediction of groundwater level variations using deep learning methods and GMS numerical model. Earth Science Informatic. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12145-023-01052-1. Andersen, O.B., Seneviratne, S.I., Hinderer, J., & Viterbo, P. (2005), GRACE-derived terrestrial water storage depletion associated with the 2003 European heat wave, Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L18405, doi:10.1029/2005GL023574. Azari, A., Zeynoddin, M., Ebtehaj, I., Sattar, A.M.A., Gharabaghi, B., & Bonakdari, H. (2021). Integrated preprocessing techniques with linear stochastic approaches in groundwater level forecasting, Acta Geophysica, 69, 1395-1411. Azizi, E., Yosefvand, F., Yaghoubi, B., Izadbakhsh, M.A. & Shabanlou, S. (2023) Modelling and prediction of groundwater level using wavelet transform and machine learning methods: A case study for the Sahneh Plain, Iran. Irrigation and Drainage, 72(3), 747–762. https://doi.org/10.1002/ird.2794 Azizpour, A., Izadbakhsh, M.A., Shabanlou, S. Yosefvand, F., & Rajabi, A. (2021). Estimation of water level fluctuations in groundwater through a hybrid learning machine. Groundwater for Sustainable Development, 15, 100687. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gsd.2021.100687. Azizpour, A., Izadbakhsh, M.A., Shabanlou, S. Yosefvand, F., & Rajabi, A. (2022). Simulation of time-series groundwater parameters using a hybrid metaheuristic neuro-fuzzy model. Environment Science and Pollution Research. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-021-17879-4 Chen, J., Li, J., Zhang, Z., & Ni, S.I. (2014). Long-term groundwater variations in Northwest India from satellite gravity measurements. Global and Planetary Change, 116, 130-138. Chen, J. L., Wilson, C. R., Famiglietti, J. S., and Rodell, M. (2005), Spatial sensitivity of the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) time-variable gravity observations, J. Geophys. Res., 110, B08408, doi:10.1029/2004JB003536. Chen, J. L., and Wilson, C. R. (2008), Low degree gravity changes from GRACE, Earth rotation, geophysical models, and satellite laser ranging, J. Geophys. Res., 113, B06402, doi:10.1029/2007JB005397. Dapeng, M., Zhongchang, S., & Jinyun. G. (2014). Estimating continental water storage variations in Central Asia area using GRACE data. IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science, Volume 17, 35th International Symposium on Remote Sensing of Environment (ISRSE35) 22–26 April 2013, Beijing, China. Ebtehaj, I., Bonakdari, H., & Shamshirband, S. (2016). Extreme learning machine assessment for estimating sediment transport in open channels, Engineering Computations, 32, 691-704. Ebtehaj, I., Bonakdari, H., Zeynoddin, M., Gharabaghi, B., & Azari, A. (2020). Evaluation of preprocessing techniques for improving the accuracy of stochastic rainfall forecast models, International Journal of Environmental Science and Technology, 17, 505-524. Esmaeili, F., Shabanlou, S., & Saadat, M.A. (2021). Wavelet-outlier robust extreme learning machine for rainfall forecasting in ardabil city, Iran, Earth Science Informatics, 14, 2087-2100. Fallahi, M.M., Shabanlou, S., Rajabi, A. Yosefvand, F., & Izadbakhsh, M.A. (2023). Effects of climate change on groundwater level variations affected by uncertainty (case study: Razan aquifer). Applied Water Science, 13, 143. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13201-023-01949-8 Fatolazadeh, F., Voosoghi, B., & Naeeni, M.R. (2016). Wavelet and Gaussian approaches for estimation of groundwater variations using GRACE data. Groundwater, 54(1), 74-81. Forootan, E., Rietbroek, R., Kusche, J., Sharifi, M.A., Awange, J.L., Schmidt, M., Omondi, P., & Famiglietti, J. (2014). Separation of large-scale water storage patterns over Iran using GRACE, altimetry and hydrological data. Remote Sensing of Environment, 140, 580-595. Guzman, S.M., Paz, J.O., Tagert, M.L.M. & Mercer, A.E. (2019). Evaluation of Seasonally Classified Inputs for the Prediction of Daily Groundwater Levels: NARX Networks Vs Support Vector Machines. Environmental Modeling & Assessment, 24(2), 223-234. Henry, C.M., D.M. Allen., & Huang, J. (2011). Groundwater storage variability and annual recharge using well-hydrograph and GRACE satellite data. Hydrogeology Journal, 19(4), 741-755. Hofmann-Wellenhof, B., & Moritz, H. (2006). Physical geodesy. Springer Science & Business Media. Joodaki, G., Earth mass change tracking using GRACE satellite gravity data. 2014. Jin, S., Hassan, A., & Feng, G. (2012). Assessment of terrestrial water contributions to polar motion from GRACE and hydrological models. Journal of Geodynamics, 62, 40-48. Joodaki, G., Wahr, J., & Swenson, S. (2014). Estimating the human contribution to groundwater depletion in the Middle East, from GRACE data, land surface models, and well observations. Water Resources Research, 50(3), 2679-2692. Malekzadeh, M., Kardar, S., Saeb, K., Shabanlou, S., & Taghavi, L. (2019a). A novel approach for prediction of monthly ground water level using a hybrid wavelet and non-tuned self-adaptive machine learning model. Water resources management, 33, 1609-1628. Malekzadeh, M., Kardar, S., & Shabanlou, S. (2019b). Simulation of groundwater level using MODFLOW, extreme learning machine and Wavelet-Extreme Learning Machine models, Groundwater for Sustainable Development, 9, 100279, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gsd.2019.100279. Mazraeh, A., Bagherifar, M., Shabanlou, S., & Ekhlasmand, R. (2023). A Hybrid Machine Learning Model for Modeling Nitrate Concentration in Water Sources. Water, Air, & Soil Pollution, 234(11), 1-22. Mazraeh, A., Bagherifar, M., Shabanlou, S., & Ekhlasmand, R. (2024). A novel committee-based framework for modeling groundwater level fluctuations: A combination of mathematical and machine learning models using the weighted multi-model ensemble mean algorithm, Groundwater for Sustainable Development, 24, 101062, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gsd.2023.101062. Mohammed, K.S., Shabanlou, S., Rajabi, A., Yosefvand, F., & Izadbakhsh, M.A. (2023). Prediction of groundwater level fluctuations using artificial intelligence-based models and GMS. Applied Water Science, 13, 54. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13201-022-01861-7 Mo S, Zhong Y, Forootan E, Mehrnegar N, Yin X, Wu J, ... and Shi (2022) Bayesian convolutional neural networks for predicting the terrestrial water storage anomalies during GRACE and GRACE-FO gap. J. Hydrol. 127244. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2021.127244 Moghim, S. (2020). Assessment of water storage changes using GRACE and GLDAS. Water Resources Management, 34(2), 685-697. Nadiri, A.A., Naderi, K., Khatibi, R., & Gharekhani, M. (2019). Modelling groundwater level variations by learning from multiple models using fuzzy logic. Hydrological sciences journal, 64(2), 210-226. Nourani, V., Mogaddam, A.A. & Nadiri, A.O. (2008). An ANN‐based model for spatiotemporal groundwater level forecasting. Hydrological Processes: An International Journal, 22(26), 5054-5066. Pereira, A., & Pacino, M.C. (2012). Annual and seasonal water storage changes detected from GRACE data in the La Plata Basin. Physics of the Earth and Planetary Interiors, 212, 88-99. Poursaeid, M., Mastouri, R., Shabanlou, S., & Najarchi, M. (2020). Estimation of total dissolved solids, electrical conductivity, salinity and groundwater levels using novel learning machines. Environ Earth Sci. 79, 453. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12665-020-09190-1 Poursaeid, M., Mastouri, R., Shabanlou, S., & Najarchi, M. (2021). Modelling qualitative and quantitative parameters of groundwater using a new wavelet conjunction heuristic method: wavelet extreme learning machine versus wavelet neural networks. Water and Environment, 35, 67-83. Poursaeid, M., Poursaeid, A.H. & Shabanlou, S. (2022). Comparative Study of Artificial Intelligence Models and A Statistical Method for Groundwater Level Prediction. Water Resour Manage. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11269-022-03070-y Rajabi, A., & Shabanlou, S. (2012) Climate index changes in future by using SDSM in Kermanshah, Iran. J Environ Res Dev 7(1), 37–44 Rodell, M. (2000). Estimating changes in terrestrial water storage. The University of Texas at Austin. https://repositories.lib.utexas.edu/handle/2152/68627 Rodell, M., Chen, J., Kato, H., Famiglietti, J.S., Nigro, J., & Wilson, C.R. (2007). Estimating groundwater storage changes in the Mississippi River basin (USA) using GRACE. Hydrogeol J 15, 159–166. Rodell, M., Velicogna, I., & Famiglietti, J.S. (2009). Satellite-based estimates of groundwater depletion in India. Nature, 460(7258), 999-1002. Scanlon, B. R., Longuevergne, L., & Long, D. (2012), Ground referencing GRACE satellite estimates of groundwater storage changes in the California Central Valley, USA, Water Resour. Res., 48, W04520, doi:10.1029/2011WR011312. Scanlon BR, Rateb A, Anyamba A, Kebede S, MacDonald AM, Shamsudduha M, ... and Xie H (2022) Linkages between GRACE water storage, hydrologic extremes, and climate teleconnections in major African aquifers. Environ. Res. Lett. 014046. https://doi.org/10.18738/T8/HLXCMY Shamsudduha, M., Taylor, R. G., & Longuevergne, L. (2012), Monitoring groundwater storage changes in the highly seasonal humid tropics: Validation of GRACE measurements in the Bengal Basin, Water Resour. Res., 48, W02508, doi:10.1029/2011WR010993. Soltani, K., & Azari, A. (2022). Forecasting groundwater anomaly in the future using satellite information and machine learning. Journal of Hydrology, 612 (2), 128052. Soltani., K., and Azari, A. 2023. Terrestrial water storage anomaly estimating using machine learning techniques and satellite-based data (a case study of Lake Urmia Basin). Irrigation and Drainage, 72 (4). https://doi.org/10.1002/ird.2863 Soltani, K., Ebtehaj, I., Amiri, A., Azari, A., Gharabaghi, B., & Bonakdari, H. (2021). Mapping the spatial and temporal variability of flood susceptibility using remotely sensed normalized difference vegetation index and the forecasted changes in the future. Science of The Total Environment 770, 145288. Strassberg, G., Scanlon, B.R., & Chambers, D. (2009). Evaluation of groundwater storage monitoring with the GRACE satellite: Case study of the High Plains aquifer, central United States. Water Resources Research, 45, W05410. Tapley, B.D., Bettadpur, S., Watkins, M., & Reigber, C. (2004). The gravity recovery and climate experiment: Mission overview and early results. Geophysical Research Letters, 31, L09607. Velicogna, I., Tong, J., Zhang, T., & Kimball, J.S. (2012). Increasing subsurface water storage in discontinuous permafrost areas of the Lena River basin, Eurasia, detected from GRACE, Geophys. Res. Lett., 39, L09403. Voss, K.A., et al., Groundwater depletion in the Middle East from GRACE with implications for transboundary water management in the Tigris‐Euphrates‐Western Iran region. Water resources research, 2013. 49(2): p. 904-914. Wahr, J., S. Swenson, and I. Velicogna, (2006). Accuracy of GRACE mass estimates. Geophysical Research Letters, 2006. 33(6). Wahr, J., Molenaar, M., & Bryan, F. (1998). Time variability of the Earth's gravity field: Hydrological and oceanic effects and their possible detection using GRACE. Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, 1998. 103(B12): 30205-30229. Wahr, J., Swenson, S., Zlotnicki, V., & Velicogna, I. (2004), Time-variable gravity from GRACE: First results, Geophys. Res. Lett., 31, L11501. Wang F, Lai H, Li Y, Feng K, Zhang Z, Tian Q, ... and Yang H (2022) Identifying the status of groundwater drought from a GRACE mascon model perspective across China during 2003–2018. Agric. Water Manage. 260:107251. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agwat.2021.107251 Wei M, Zhou H, Luo Z, Dai M (2022) Tracking inter-annual terrestrial water storage variations over Lake Baikal basin from GRACE and GRACE Follow-On missions. Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies 40:101004. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejrh.2022.101004 Yosefvand, F., & Shabanlou, S. (2020). Forecasting of Groundwater Level Using Ensemble Hybrid Wavelet–Self-adaptive Extreme Learning Machine-Based Models. Nat Resour Res 29, 3215–3232 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11053-020-09642-2 Zeynoddin, M., Bonakdari H., Azari, A., Ebtehaj, I., Gharabaghi, B., & Madavar, H.R. (2018). Novel hybrid linear stochastic with non-linear extreme learning machine methods for forecasting monthly rainfall a tropical climate, Journal of environmental management 222, 190-206. Zeynoddin, M., Bonakdari, H., Ebtehaj, I., Azari, A., & Gharabaghi, B., (2020). A generalized linear stochastic model for lake level prediction, Science of The Total Environment, 723, 138015. | ||
آمار تعداد مشاهده مقاله: 164 تعداد دریافت فایل اصل مقاله: 129 |