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Futurism: Structuring and Configuration of Political Movements in the Islamic Republic of Iran | ||
| Contemporary Researches on Islamic Revolution | ||
| دوره 6، شماره 19، خرداد 2024، صفحه 67-87 اصل مقاله (469.47 K) | ||
| نوع مقاله: Science - Research | ||
| نویسندگان | ||
| Jafar Rajabi Qarah Qeshlaqi* 1؛ Zahed Ghaffari Hashjin2 | ||
| 1Ph.D Student, Of Islamic Revolution Political Studies, Faculty of Humanities, Shahed University, Tehran, IRAN | ||
| 2Full Professor, Faculty of Humanities, Shahed University, Tehran, IRAN | ||
| چکیده | ||
| Apparently, the most common debate in post-revolutionary Iran is the debate between "Tradition" and "Modernity," which ultimately has manifested in the two fronts of "Traditionalism or Fundamentalism" and "Reformism or Moderation." These two fundamental dichotomies have shown themselves in every crisis and transformation, and political parties and movements in Iran have grown and been able to attract public opinion and create a social base on the basis of this general rift in Iranian society. The present study aims to answer the main question of ‘How the future structuring and configuration of political movements in the Islamic Republic of Iran will be?’ And ‘What scenarios can be envisioned in this regard?’ To this aim, a qualitative document analysis method was used and data collected using the tool of fishing from various sources. Additionally, by employing the scenario-writing method, it delves into examining the future structuring and configuration of political movements in the Islamic Republic of Iran. Hence, three scenarios or configurations in the arrangement of political forces in Iran are conceivable: Continuation of the arrangement and structuring of political movements in the form of fundamentalism and moderation, reinterpretation and reconstruction of the principles and discursive elements of political movements known as fundamentalist and reformist and formation of a new arrangement and configuration. | ||
| کلیدواژه‌ها | ||
| Futurism؛ Political Movements؛ Islamic Republic of Iran؛ Fundamentalism؛ Moderation | ||
| عنوان مقاله [English] | ||
| آینده پژوهی صورت بندی و آرایش جریان های سیاسی در جمهوری اسلامی ایران | ||
| نویسندگان [English] | ||
| جعفر رجبی1؛ زاهد غفاری هشتجین2 | ||
| 2استاد دانشگاه شاهد.تهران.ایران | ||
| چکیده [English] | ||
| به نظر می رسد عام‌ترین مناقشه در ایران پسا انقلاب، مناقشه میان «سنت» و «مدرنیته» است که در نهایت در دو جبهۀ «سنت گرایی یا اصول گرایی » و «تجدد گرایی یا اصلاح طلبی» روبروی هم صف‌آرایی کرده‌اند و این دوگانۀ اساسی در هر بحران و تحولی خود را نشان داده و احزاب و جریان های سیاسی نیز بر بستر این شکاف عام جامعه ایران رشد پیدا کرده‌اند و توانسته اند آرای عمومی را جلب کنند و پایگاه اجتماعی ایجاد کنند. با این وصف این مقاله در پی پاسخ به این سوال اصلی است که آینده صورتبندی و آرایش جریان های سیاسی در جمهوری اسلامی ایران چگونه خواهد بود و چه سناریوهایی را می توان در این زمینه متصور بود؟ در این راستا برای انجام تحقیق از روش کیفی تحلیل اسنادی و برای گرد آوری داده ها از ابزار فیش برداری از منابع مختلف بهره گرفته شده است همچنین با کار بست روش سناریو نویسی به بررسی آینده صورتبندی و آرایش جریان های سیاسی در جمهوری اسلامی ایران می پردازد. به نظر می رسد سه سناریو یا صورتبندی در آرایش نیرو های سیاسی در ایران قابل تصور است 1- تداوم آرایش و صورت بندی جریای های سیاسی در قالب اصوگرایی و اصلاح طلبی 2- بازخوانی و نوسازی اصول و عناصر گفتمانی جریان های سیاسی موسوم به اصول گرا و اصلاح طلب 3 –شکل گیری آرایش و صورت بندی جدید. | ||
| کلیدواژه‌ها [English] | ||
| آینده پژوهی, جریا ن های سیاسی, جمهوری اسلامی ایران, اصوگرایی, اصلاح طلبی | ||
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آمار تعداد مشاهده مقاله: 245 تعداد دریافت فایل اصل مقاله: 191 |
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