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سالم, علی اصغر, ممی پور, سیاب, عزیزخانی, معصومه. (1402). اثر بازگشتی مستقیم بهبود کارایی خودروهای سواری بر مصرف بنزین در ایران. , 58(1), 95-120. doi: 10.22059/jte.2023.351978.1008757
علی اصغر سالم; سیاب ممی پور; معصومه عزیزخانی. "اثر بازگشتی مستقیم بهبود کارایی خودروهای سواری بر مصرف بنزین در ایران". , 58, 1, 1402, 95-120. doi: 10.22059/jte.2023.351978.1008757
سالم, علی اصغر, ممی پور, سیاب, عزیزخانی, معصومه. (1402). 'اثر بازگشتی مستقیم بهبود کارایی خودروهای سواری بر مصرف بنزین در ایران', , 58(1), pp. 95-120. doi: 10.22059/jte.2023.351978.1008757
سالم, علی اصغر, ممی پور, سیاب, عزیزخانی, معصومه. اثر بازگشتی مستقیم بهبود کارایی خودروهای سواری بر مصرف بنزین در ایران. , 1402; 58(1): 95-120. doi: 10.22059/jte.2023.351978.1008757

اثر بازگشتی مستقیم بهبود کارایی خودروهای سواری بر مصرف بنزین در ایران

فصلنامه تحقیقات اقتصادی
مقاله 4، دوره 58، شماره 1 - شماره پیاپی 142، خرداد 1402، صفحه 95-120    اصل مقاله (1.07 M)
نوع مقاله: مقاله پژوهشی
شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.22059/jte.2023.351978.1008757
نویسندگان
علی اصغر سالم* 1؛ سیاب ممی پور2؛ معصومه عزیزخانی3
1گروه اقتصاد نظری، دانشکده اقتصاد، دانشگاه علامه طباطبائی، تهران، ایران
2گروه اقتصاد انرژی و منابع، دانشکده اقتصاد، دانشگاه خوارزمی، تهران، ایران
3گروه اقتصاد انرژی، دانشکده اقتصاد، دانشگاه خوارزمی، تهران، ایران
چکیده
رشد شتابان مصرف سوخت در بخش حمل‌ونقل، افزون بر تشدید مصرف غیربهینه، خطرات دیگری در حوزه‌های محیط ‌زیست، تأمین وامنیت انرژی ملی به دنبال دارد. از این رو، بهبود بهره‌وری در مصرف انرژی، با هدف صرفه‌جویی در مصرف سوخت، مورد توجه سیاست گذاران می‌باشد، اما در حقیقت، چنین رویکردی، با بروز پدیده اثر بازگشتی روبرو شده و تا حدود زیادی از میزان اثرات مثبت آن در جهت تقلیل مصرف انرژی، خنثی می‌شود.
در این مطالعه با هدف برآورد اثر بازگشتی مستقیم بهبود کارایی مصرف بنزین خانوارهای شهری به تفکیک چهار طبقه مصرفی (کم‌تر از 60 لیتر، 60 تا 80 لیتر، 80 تا 120 لیتر و بیش از 120 لیتر)، طی سال‌های 1396 - 1399، از مدل سیستم تقاضای تقریبا ایده‌آل و روش رگرسیون به ظاهر نامرتبط، استفاده شده است.
نتایج نشان می‌دهد که اثر بازگشتی مستقیم بهبود کارایی مصرف بنزین به تفکیک چهار طبقه مصرفی کم‌تر از 60 لیتر، 60 تا 80 لیتر، 80 تا 120 لیتر و بیش از 120 لیتر به‌ترتیب برابر با 73/0، 94/0، 63/0 و 47/0 می‌باشد.
چنین یافته‌هایی نشان می‌دهد که به موازات افزایش مصرف غیرسهمیه‌ای بنزین، صرفه‌جویی بیشتری تحقق می‌یابد. در حقیقت مکانیزم قیمت‌گذاری بنزین که همواره مورد انتقاد قرار گرفته، عاملی مهم در میزان اثر بازگشتی است و اصلاحات بیشتری در این زمینه لازم می‌باشد.
 طبقه ‎بندی JEL: K32, C32, H20, D61
کلیدواژه‌ها
اثر بازگشتی مستقیم؛ حمل‌ونقل؛ سیستم تقاضای تقریباً ایده‌آل؛ کارایی مصرف بنزین؛ مصرف انرژی
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