پیوندهای مفید
اخبار و اعلانات
آمار
| تعداد نشریات | 161 |
| تعداد شمارهها | 6,532 |
| تعداد مقالات | 70,504 |
| تعداد مشاهده مقاله | 124,123,205 |
| تعداد دریافت فایل اصل مقاله | 97,231,224 |
Relationships between Ambient Air Pollution, Meteorological Parameters and Respiratory Mortality in Mashhad, Iran: a Time Series Analysis | ||
| Pollution | ||
| دوره 8، شماره 4، مهر 2022، صفحه 1250-1265 اصل مقاله (494.23 K) | ||
| نوع مقاله: Original Research Paper | ||
| شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.22059/poll.2022.341236.1431 | ||
| نویسندگان | ||
| Mitra Mohammadi* 1؛ Morteza Hatami2، 3؛ Reza Esmaeli4؛ Samaneh Gohari5؛ Mandana Mohammadi6؛ Elahe khayami7 | ||
| 1Department of Environmental Science, Faculty of Environmental Science, Kheradgarayn Motahar Institute of Higher Education, P.O.Box, 9177934955,Mashhad, Iran | ||
| 2Environmental Health Engineer, North Khorasan University of Medical Sciences, Iran | ||
| 3Natural Resources Engineering-Environmental Pollution, Department of Environmental Science, Faculty of Environmental Science, Kheradgarayn Motahar Institute of Higher Education, Mashhad, Iran | ||
| 4Urban Services of Mashhad Municipality, Environmental Pollutants Monitoring Center, Mashhad, Iran | ||
| 5Environmental Health Engineering, Faculty of Health, Mashhad University of Medical Sciences, Mashhad, Iran | ||
| 6Department of Statistics, Ferdowsi University of Mashhad, Mashhad, Iran | ||
| 7Department of Environmental Science and Engineering, Islamic Azad University, West Tehran Branch, Tehran, Iran | ||
| چکیده | ||
| The time series model has been exploited to estimate the relationship between meteorological variables and air in Mashhad with respiratory mortality. For this purpose, data on respiratory mortality was based on data recorded on March 2014 to 2015. In order to investigate the effect of meteorological variables and air pollution values on respiratory mortality, the Box- Jenkins time series model has been utilized. Moreover, the effect of age and seasons on the number of respiratory deaths was assessed by the linear regression and ANOVA test. The fit of the final model to determining the monthly relationship between meteorological variables and air pollutants with the number of respiratory mortalities is a (1,0,2) ARIMA. In the monthly survey, temperature and rainfall have the inverse relationship and pressure has the direct relationship with the average of 7.4, 3.2, and 17.42 on the respiratory mortality. It was also found direct relationship between the mortality from respiratory diseases and CO and O3 and inverse relationship with SO2, NO2 and PM2.5 pollutants with an average of 67.40, 17.42, 17.89, 6.83, and 0.68, respectively. Also, the results of this study indicate that older people are more likely to be affected by the inappropriate status of air quality by 0.37%. The results showed a significant difference between respiratory mortality in different seasons of the year, and the highest number of deaths occurred in the winter. | ||
| کلیدواژهها | ||
| Air Pollutants؛ Meteorological Variables؛ Respiratory Disease؛ Mortality؛ and Time Series Model | ||
| مراجع | ||
|
Abed Al Ahad, M., Sullivan, F., Demšar, U., Melhem, M. and Kulu, H. (2020). The effect of air-pollution and weather exposure on mortality and hospital admission and implications for further research: A systematic scoping review. PloS one, 15(10), e0241415. Agudelo-Castañeda, DM., Calesso Teixeira, E., Alves, L., Fernández-Niño, J.A. and Rodríguez-Villamizar, L.A .(2019). Monthly-term associations between air pollutants and respiratory morbidity in South Brazil 2013–2016: a multi-city, time-series analysis. International journal of environmental research and public health 16(20):3787. DOI: 10.3390/ijerph16203787 Apostol, L., Bărcăcianu, F., Ichim, P. and Sfîcă, L. (2015). The thermal inversion phenomena on ground level and in the free atmosphere in the first 3000 m above Moldova, Romania. Advances in Environmental Sciences 7(2):196-204. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/299628873 Cerchiara, R., Edwards, M. and Gambini A. (2008). Generalized Linear Models in Life Insurance -Decrements and Ririsk factor analysis under solvency ii. GLM in Life Insurance 1-18. Çapraz, Ö., Efe, B. and Deniz, A. (2016). Study on the association between air pollution and mortality in İstanbul, 2007–2012. Atmospheric Pollution Research 7(1):147-54. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apr.2015.08.006 . Cerón Bretón, R. M., Cerón Bretón, J. G., Lara Severino, R. d. C., Espinosa Fuentes, M. d. l. L., Ramírez Lara, E. and Rangel Marrón, M. (2018). Short-term effects of air pollution on health in the metropolitan area of Guadalajara using a time-series approach. Aerosol and Air Quality Research 18(9):2383-411. DOI:10.4209/aaqr.2017.09.0346 Dastoorpoor, M., Riahi, A., Yazdaninejhad, H., Borsi, S. H., Khanjani, N. and Khodadadi, N. (2020). Exposure to particulate matter and carbon monoxide and cause-specific Cardiovascular-Respiratory disease mortality in Ahvaz. Toxin reviews 1-11. https://doi.org/10.1080/15569543.2020.1716256 Dadbakhsh, M., Khanjani, N., Bahrampour, A. and Haghighi, P. S. (2017). Death from respiratory diseases and temperature in Shiraz, Iran (2006–2011). International journal of biometeorology 61(2):239-46. DOI: 10.1007/s00484-016-1206-z Dehghani, M., Keshtgar, L., Javaheri, M. R., Derakhshan, Z., Oliveri Conti, G. and Zuccarello, P. (2017). The effects of air pollutants on the mortality rate of lung cancer and leukemia. Molecular medicine reports 15(5):3390-7. DOI: 10.3892/mmr.2017.6387 Dastoorpoor, M., Khanjani, N., Bahrampour, A., Goudarzi, G., Aghababaeian, H. and Idani, E. (2018). Short-term effects of air pollution on respiratory mortality in Ahvaz, Iran. Medical journal of the Islamic Republic of Iran, 32, 30. Fang, X., Li, R., Kan, H., Bottai, M., Fang, F. and Cao, Y. (2016). Bayesian model averaging method for evaluating associations between air pollution and respiratory mortality: a time-series study. BMJ open 6(8):e011487. DOI: 10.1136/bmjopen-2016-011487 *Guo, Y., Li, S. and Tawatsupa, B. (2014). The association between air pollution and mortality in Thailand. Sci Rep 4, 5509. https://doi.org/10.1038/srep0550 Hatami, M., Mohammadi, M.M., Esmaeli, R. and Mohammadi, M. (2017). Assessing the relationship between meteorological parameters, air pollution and cardiovascular mortality of Mashhad City based on time series model. Iranian Journal of Health, Safety and Environment 5(1):894-903. http://www.ijhse.ir/index.php/IJHSE/article/view/267 Jacobson, L. D. S. V., Oliveira, B. F. A. D., Schneider, R., Gasparrini, A. and Hacon, S. D. S. (2021). Mortality Risk from Respiratory Diseases Due to Non-Optimal Temperature among Brazilian Elderlies. International journal of environmental research and public health, 18(11), 5550. Khamutian, R., Najafi, F., Soltanian, M., Shokoohizadeh, M.J., Poorhaghighat, S. and Dargahi, A. (2015). The association between air pollution and weather conditions with increase in the number of admissions of asthmatic patients in emergency wards: a case study in Kermanshah. Medical journal of the Islamic Republic of Iran 29:229. http://mjiri.iums.ac.ir/article-1-3009-en.html López-Villarrubia, E., Ballester, F., Iñiguez, C. and Peral, N .(2019). Air pollution and mortality in the Canary Islands: a time-series analysis. Environmental Health 9(1):1-11. DOI:10.1186/1476-069X-9-8 Lin, Y. K., Ho, T.J. and Wang, Y.C. (2011) Mortality risk associated with temperature and prolonged temperature extremes in elderly populations in Taiwan. Environ. Res 111, 1156–1163. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed] Liu, L., Breitner, S., Pan, X., Franck, U., Leitte, A.M., Wiedensohler, A., Von Klot, S., Wichmann, H.E., Peters, A. and Schneider, A. (2011) Associations between air temperature and cardio-respiratory mortality in the urban area of Beijing, China: A time-series analysis. Environ. Health 10, 51. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed] Lu, Y., Yan, C., Fu, Y., Chen, Y., Liu, Y., Yang, G. and Wang, L. (2019). A proxy for atmospheric daytime gaseous sulfuric acid concentration in urban Beijing. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 19(3), 1971-1983. Lin, S., Wei, D., Sun, Y., Chen, K., Yang, L. and Liu, B. (2020). Region-specific air pollutants and meteorological parameters influence COVID-19: A study from mainland China. Ecotoxicology and environmental safety 204:111035. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecoenv.2020.111035 Mokoena, K.K., Ethan, C.J., Yu, Y., Shale, K. and Liu, F. (2019). Ambient air pollution and respiratory mortality in Xi’an, China: a time-series analysis. Respiratory research 20(1):1-9. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12931-019-1117-8 Manochehrneya, S., Mohammadi, M., Esmaeili, R. and Vahdani, A. (2020). A time series approach to estimate the association between health effects, climate factors and air pollution, Mashhad, Iran. Iranian Journal of Health and Environment 13(3):545-558. http://ijhe.tums.ac.ir/article-1-6473-en.html Maji, S., Ahmed, S., Siddiqui, W.A. and Ghosh, S. (2017). Short term effects of criteria air pollutants on daily mortality in Delhi, India. Atmospheric Environment 150:210-9. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2016.11.044 Ou, C. Q., Jun, Y. A. N. G., Ou, Q. Q., Liu, H. Z., Lin, G. Z., Chen, P. Y. and Guo, Y. M. (2014). The impact of relative humidity and atmospheric pressure on mortality in Guangzhou, China. Biomedical and Environmental Sciences, 27(12), 917-925. Antunes, L., Silva, S. P., Marques, J., Nunes, B., & Antunes, S. (2017). The effect of extreme cold temperatures on the risk of death in the two major Portuguese cities. International journal of biometeorology, 61(1), 127-135. Song, J., Lu, M., Lu, J., Chao, L., An, Z. and Liu, Y. (2019). Acute effect of ambient air pollution on hospitalization in patients with hypertension: A time-series study in Shijiazhuang, China. Ecotoxicology and environmental safety 170:286-92. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecoenv.2018.11.125 Shao, M., Yu, L., Xiao, C., Deng, J., Yang, H., Xu, W. and Pan, F. (2021). Short-term effects of ambient temperature and pollutants on the mortality of respiratory diseases: A time-series analysis in Hefei, China. Ecotoxicology and Environmental Safety, 215, 112160. Taneepanichskul, N., Gelaye, B., Diana, S., Toussaint, G., Lohsoonthorn, V., Jimba, M. and Michelle A.(2018). Short-term effects of particulate matter exposure on daily mortality in Thailand: a case-crossover study. Air Quality, Atmosphere & Health 11:639–647. DOI:10.1007/s11869-018-0571-7 Tao, Y., Mi, S., Zhou, S., Wang, S. and Xie, X. (2014) Air pollution and hospital admissions for respiratory diseases in Lanzhou, China. Environmental pollution 185:196-201. DOI: 10.1016/j.envpol.2013.10.035 Tajudin, M.A.B.A., Khan, M.F., Mahiyuddin, W.R.W., Hod, R., Latif, M.T. and Hamid, A.H. (2019). Risk of concentrations of major air pollutants on the prevalence of cardiovascular and respiratory diseases in urbanized area of Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia. Ecotoxicology and environmental safety 171:290-300. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecoenv.2018.12.057 *Wong, C.M., Vichit Vadakan, N., Vajanapoom, N., Ostro, B., Thach, T.Q., Chau, P.Y., Chan, E.K., Chung, R.Y., Ou, C.Q., Yang, L., Peiris, J.S., Thomas, G.N., Lam, T.H, Wong, T.W., Hedley, A.J., Kan, H., Chen, B., Zhao, N., London, S.J., Song, G., Chen, G., Zhang, Y., Jiang, L., Qian, Z., He, Q., Lin, H.M., Kong, L., Zhou, D., Liang, S., Zhu, Z., Liao, D., Liu, W., Bentley, C.M., Dan, J., Wang, B., Yang, N., Xu, S., Gong, J., Wei, H., Sun, H. and Qin, Z. H.E.I.(2010). Health Review Committee. Part 5. Public health and air pollution in Asia (PAPA): a combined analysis of four studies of air pollution and mortality. Res Rep Health Eff Inst. (154):377-418. PMID: 21446215. Zhu, J., Zhang, X., Zhang, X., Dong, M., Wu, J. and Dong, Y .(2017). The burden of ambient air pollution on years of life lost in Wuxi, China, 2012–2015: a time-series study using a distributed lag non-linear model. Environmental pollution 224:689-97. DOI: 10.1016/j.envpol.2017.02.053 Zhou, M., He, G., Liu, Y., Yin, P., Li, Y. and Kan, H. (2015). The associations between ambient air pollution and adult respiratory mortality in 32 major Chinese cities, 2006–2010. Environmental research 137:278-86. DOI: 10.1016/j.envres.2014.12.016 | ||
|
آمار تعداد مشاهده مقاله: 664 تعداد دریافت فایل اصل مقاله: 575 |
||