شناسایی دلایل در دستورکار قرار نگرفتن مسئله افزایش سطح آب دریا در خط‌مشی‌های دولت

1- فتحی، الهه (1395) ﭘﺮاﮐﻨﺪﮔﯽ ﻋﻤﻮدی ﺟﻤﻌﯿﺖ ایران در سال 1390، ماهنامه تحلیلی پژوهشی آمار، شماره 17، فروردین و اردیبهشت 1395، جلد 4، شماره 1، صفحه 24 – 26.

2- نامی، محمد حسن؛ عباسی سمنانی، علیرضا؛ صمدی، مهدی (1391) بررسی اثرات و نتایج گرم شدن کره زمین و بالا آمدن آب دریای مکران و خلیج فارس بر سواحل و جزایر جنوب کشور در 50 سال آینده، اولین همایش ملی توسعه سواحل مکران و اقتدار دریایی جمهوری اسلامی ایران، 28 لغایت 30 بهمن 1391، صفحه 1 – 7.

 

3- Agnone J, (2007), “Amplifying public opinion: The policy impact of the U.S. environmental movement” Social Forces 85. p.1593–1620.

4- Alexander, K. S., Ryan, A., & Measham, T. G. (2012). Managed retreat of coastal communities: Understanding responses to projected sea level rise. Journal of Environmental Planning and Management, 55(4), p. 409–433.

5- Amundsen H, Berglund F, Westskogô H, (2010), “Overcoming barriers to climate change adaptation – a question of multilevel governance?” Environment and Planning C: Government and Policy 28. p. 276–289.

6- Baumgartner F R, Jones B D, (1993), Agendas and Instability in American Politics (University of Chicago Press, Chicago).

7- Biesbroek G R, Termeer C J A M, Kabat P, Klostermann J E M, (2009), “Institutional governance barriers for the development and implementation of climate adaptation strategies”, International Human Dimensions Programme (IHDP) Conference “Earth System Governance: People, Places, and the Planet”, Amsterdam, 2–4 December.

8- Binder B, (2011), “Impact of climate change on public health” Public Manager 40. p.32–36.

9- Birkland, Thomas A. 1998. ‘‘Focusing events, mobilization, and agenda setting.’’ Journal of Public Policy 18 (1) January, p.53–74.

10- Brodmerkel, A. (2018) Homeowner perceptions of North Carolina sea level rise policy. Department of Environment and Ecology University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill.

11- Brody S, Grover H, Lindquist E, Vedlitz A, (2010), “Examining climate change mitigation and adaptation behaviours among public sector organisations in the USA” Local Environment 15. p.591–603.

12- Cobb, Roger W., and Charles D. Elder. (1983). Participation in American Politics: The Dynamics of Agenda-Building. 2nd ed. Baltimore: The Johns Hopkins University Press.

13- Crabbé P, Robin M, (2006), “Institutional adaptation of water resource infrastructures to climate change in Eastern Ontario” Climatic Change 78. p.103–133.

14- Dalkey, N. and Helmer, O. (1963), “An experimental application of the Delphi method to the use of experts”,Management Science, Vol. 9 No. 3, p.458-67.

15- Dannevig H, Hovelsrud G K, Husabø I A, (2013), “Driving the agenda for climate change adaptation in Norwegian municipalities” Environment and Planning C: Government and Policy 31. p.490–505.

16- Downs A, (1972), “Up and down with ecology—the ‘issue-attention cycle’” The Public Interest 28. p.38–50.

17- Goharnejad, H., Shamsai, A., Hosseini, S. A. (2013) Vulnerability assessment of southern coastal areas of Iran to sea level rise: evaluation of climate change impact, Oceanologia (55), p. 611-637.

18- Hilgartner, S. And Bosk, C., (1988). The rise and fall of social problems: a public arenas model. American Journal of Sociology, 94, p.53-78.

19- Hjerpe M, Storbjörk S, Alberth J, (2014), “There is nothing political in it”: triggers of local political leaders’ engagement in climate adaptation” Local Environment Epub ahead of print.

20- Houston, D. and L. Richardson. (2000). ‘The Politics of Air Bag Safety: A Competition among Problem Definitions’, Policy Studies Journal, 28, 3, p.485–501.

21- Howlett M, Ramesh M, Perl A, (2009), Studying Public Policy: Policy Cycles & Policy Subsystems 3rd edition (Oxford University Press, Ontario, Canada).

22- Huidobro M, (2012), “Institutional deficit and lack of legitimacy: the challenges of climate change governance in Hong Kong” Environmental Politics 21. p.791–810.

23- Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, (2013), Climate Change 2013: The Pysical Science Basis (Cambridge University Press, New York, NY).

24- Kingdon J W, (1995), Agendas, Alternatives, and Public Policies (Addison Wesley Longman, New York, NY).

25- Kingdon, JohnW. (2003). Agendas, Alternatives and Public Policies. New York: Longman.

26- Linstone, H.A., & Turoff, M. (Eds.). (1975). The Delphi Method: Techniques and Applications. Reading, MA: Addison-Wesley Publishing Company.

27- McGloughlin J S, Sweeney J, 2011, “Multi-level climate policies in Ireland” Irish Geography 44. p.137–150.

28- Moser S C, (2005), “Impact assessments and policy responses to sea-level rise in three US states: an exploration of human-dimension uncertainties” Global Environmental Change 15. p.353–369.

29- Ngorana, S. D., Xue, X. (2015), Addressing urban sprawl in Douala, Cameroon: Lessons from Xiamen integrated coastal management. Journal of Urban Management, 4, p.53–72.

30- Nicholls R J, Kebede A S, (2012), “Indirect impacts of coastal climate change and sea-level rise: the UK example” Climate Policy 12. p.28–S52.

31- Nisbet M C, Myers T, (2007), “The polls—trends: twenty years of public opinion about global warming” Public Opinion Quarterly 71. p.444–470.

32- Okoli, C. and Pawlowski, S.D. (2004), “The Delphi method as a research tool: an example, design considerations and applications”, Information & Management, Vol. 42 No. 1, pp. 15-29.

33- Orderu G I, Kelman I, (2011), “Norweigan mayoral awareness of and attitudes towards climate change” International Journak of Environmental Studies 68. p.667–686.

34- Pelissero, John P. (2003), ‘‘The political environment of cities in the twenty-first century.’’ In Cities, Politics, and Policy, edited by John P. Pelissero.Washington, D.C.: CQ Press.

35- Powell, C. (2003). The Delphi Techniqe Myths and Realities. Journal of Advanced Nursing.

36- Pralle S B, (2009), “Agenda-setting and climate change” Environmental Politics 18(5). p.781–799.

37- Rabe B G, (2010), “Introduction: the challenges of U.S. climate governance”, in Greenhouse Governance: Addressing Climate Change in America Ed. B G Rabe (Brookings Institution Press, Washington, DC) p.3–23.

38- RAND Corporation. (2012), Delphi Method. Retrieved from http://www.rand.org/topics/delphi-method.html

39- Ridde, V. (2008). ‘Equity and Health Policy in Africa: Using Concept Mapping in Burkina Faso’, BMC Health Service Research, 8, 90, 22 April.

40- Rochefort, D.A. and Cobb, R.W., 1994. The politics of problem definition. Lawrence, KS: University Press of Kansas.

41- Selman J, Daigle M, (2011), “Attracting strange bedfellows: climate users reshape the conversation” Public Manager 40. p.51–54.

42- Simon M V, Alm L R, (1995), “Policy windows and two-level games: explaining the passage of acid-rain legislation in the Clean Air Act of 1990” Environment and Planning C: Government and Policy 13. p.459–478.

43- Solecki W D, Shelley F M, (1996), “Pollution, political agendas, and policy windows: environmental policy on the eve of Silent Spring” Environment and Planning C: Government and Policy 14. p.451–468.

44- Stone, D., (1988), Policy paradox and political reason. Glenview, IL: Scott, Foresman, and Company.

45- Tversky, A. and Kahneman, D. (1974), Judgment under uncertainty: heuristics and biases. Science, 185(4157), p.1124-1131.

46- Wang, G., Zhang, J., He, R., Liu, C., Ma, T., Bao, Z., Liu, Y., (2017), Runoff sensitivity to climate change for hydro-climatically different catchments in China. Stoch. Environ. Res. Risk Assess. 31, p.1011–1021.

47- Yusuf, J. E., Neill, K., Burton, S. J., Ash, I. K. and Mahar, K. (2016) The Sea Is Rising… But Not onto the Policy Agenda: A Multiple Streams Approach to Understanding Sea Level Rise Policies. Environment and Planning C: Government and Policy 34. P. 228-243.