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Implications of Policies Aimed at Reducing Iran’s Oil Revenue Dependence during president Hassan Rouhani’s Administration (2013- 2021) | ||
| Journal of Iran and Regional Studies | ||
| مقالات آماده انتشار، پذیرفته شده، انتشار آنلاین از تاریخ 30 اردیبهشت 1405 | ||
| نوع مقاله: Original Article | ||
| شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.22059/jices.2026.411664.1109 | ||
| نویسندگان | ||
| Pieman Sheikh Mahmoudi* 1؛ Sayyed Amir Masood Shahram Nia2 | ||
| 1PhD Candidate in International Political Economy at University of Vienna,Austria. | ||
| 2Associate Professor, Department of Political Science, Faculty of Administrative and Economic Sciences, University of Isfahan, Isfahan, Iran. | ||
| چکیده | ||
| The Islamic Republic of Iran has long suffered from the chronic effects of a mono-product economy due to its reliance on oil revenues and the vulnerabilities inherent in its rentier economic structure. This rent-dependent economic system has consistently been accompanied by widespread crises and economic challenges. In response, policymakers have envisioned strategies aimed at achieving a “non-oil economy” to mitigate the problems arising from such dependence. Therefore, the separation of Iran’s economy from oil revenues, reliance on non-oil sectors, and the pursuit of a “non-oil economy” have a long-standing history and have often been considered an elusive goal. This study, based on Nafisi Rad’s theory of the non-oil economy, aims to critically analyze the implementation of a non-oil economy during Rouhani’s administration and examine its associated outcomes.In other words, the study seeks to determine the consequences of relying on a non-oil economy for the economic performance of Rouhani’s administration. The article’s hypothesis posits that Rouhani’s government, facing declining oil revenues and international sanctions, encountered an unprecedented opportunity to implement a non-oil economic policy—an aspiration long held by Iranian policymakers. However, due to the dominance of a mono-product economy and a strong dependence on oil revenues, the government was unable to remain immune to the adverse effects arising from the rentier economic structure. From this perspective, bank indebtedness, declining national revenues, poverty and widening income inequality, currency devaluation, stagflation, unemployment, reduced production, budget deficits, and slower economic growth were among the consequences of unprecedented crises faced by Rouhani’s administration. The unprecedented crises faced by Rouhani’s administration resulted in bank indebtedness, declining national revenues, poverty, widening income inequality, currency devaluation, stagflation, unemployment, reduced production, budget deficits, and slower economic growth. Consequently, the government’s policies aimed at implementing a non-oil economy not only failed to free the economy from its rentier dependence on oil revenues but also resulted in a fragmented economic system plagued by crises, which became a pervasive problem for Iran’s economy and may continue to affect future administrations for years. | ||
| کلیدواژهها | ||
| Oil dependency reduction؛ Rentier economy؛ Economic crises؛ International sanctions؛ Policy outcomes, Iran | ||
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آمار تعداد مشاهده مقاله: 59 |
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