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Unveiling Key Determinants of Science and Technology Policy Effectiveness in Iran: A Machine Learning-Based Analysis Using Soft Computing Techniques | ||
| Interdisciplinary Journal of Management Studies | ||
| مقالات آماده انتشار، پذیرفته شده، انتشار آنلاین از تاریخ 19 آذر 1404 | ||
| نوع مقاله: Research Paper | ||
| شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.22059/ijms.2025.398164.677769 | ||
| نویسنده | ||
| Hooman Shababi* | ||
| Faculty Member at Rahedanesh Institute of Higher Education | ||
| چکیده | ||
| Complex national innovation systems (NIS) in developing countries need advanced analytical tools to identify and optimize key drivers of science, technology, and innovation (STI) policy outcomes. This study applies a hybrid machine learning framework—combining Random Forest, Support Vector Machines, K-means clustering, and Principal Component Analysis—to evaluate Iran's STI policy performance from 2010 to 2024. Drawing on multi-source data, including R&D expenditures, university-industry collaboration indices, human capital metrics, and innovation outputs, the proposed model uncovers nonlinear relationships among policy variables and prioritizes the most influential factors. The results reveal that R&D intensity, institutional collaboration quality, policy implementation coherence, and human capital development are the dominant predictors of policy success. By integrating soft computing methods and empirical policy data, this work offers a replicable approach for evidence-based policymaking in emerging economies. The findings align with recent advancements in AI-driven decision support systems and contribute to the growing body of research advocating for data-driven innovation governance. | ||
| کلیدواژهها | ||
| Machine learning؛ Soft computing؛ Science and technology policy؛ National innovation systems؛ R&؛ D investment | ||
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آمار تعداد مشاهده مقاله: 84 |
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