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Scenarios of the Islamic Revolution Influenced by the Megatrends of the New World Order in the 2035 Horizon | ||
| Contemporary Researches on Islamic Revolution | ||
| دوره 7، شماره 26، دی 2025، صفحه 121-149 اصل مقاله (1.01 M) | ||
| نوع مقاله: Science - Research | ||
| شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.22059/jcrir.2025.391072.1687 | ||
| نویسندگان | ||
| Alireza Zare Sari* 1؛ Omid Voghoufi2؛ Mohammad Rahim Eyvazi3؛ Javad Haghgoo4 | ||
| 1PhD Candidate in Futures Studies, Imam Hussein Comprehensive University, Iran, Tehran | ||
| 2Assistant Professor, Future Studies Department, Imam Hussein (AS) Research Institute, Tehran, Iran | ||
| 3Professor, Faculty of Governance, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran | ||
| 4Faculty Member, Faculty of Islamic Studies and Thought, University of Tehran, Tehran,Iran. | ||
| چکیده | ||
| Abstract Objective:: The purpose of this research is to identify the scenarios for the Islamic Revolution as influenced by the megatrends of the new world order in the 2035 AD/1414 SH horizon. Methodology: This study employs a mixed-methods approach, combining quantitative and qualitative techniques. It utilizes futures studies methods such as balanced cross-impact analysis and scenario writing, supported by Scenario Wizard and Micmac software. Findings: From initial 1,536 scenarios generated by the software, seven core scenarios were selected based on expert opinion: "Rise of Resistance, end of resistance, fall of the eagle, new American era, and coalition against Iran, everyone's failure, and order in disorder." Conclusions: Seven core scenarios of rise of resistance, end of resistance, fall of the eagle, new American era, coalition against Iran, everyone's failure, and order in disorder were identified and confirmed by experts as the primary scenarios. | ||
| کلیدواژهها | ||
| New World Order؛ Islamic Revolution؛ Future؛ Scenario؛ Megatrend | ||
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آمار تعداد مشاهده مقاله: 345 تعداد دریافت فایل اصل مقاله: 231 |
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