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Zare Sari, Alireza, Voghoufi, Omid, Eyvazi, Mohammad Rahim, Haghgoo, Javad. (1404). Scenarios of the Islamic Revolution Influenced by the Megatrends of the New World Order in the 2035 Horizon. , 8(26), 121-149. doi: 10.22059/jcrir.2025.391072.1687
Alireza Zare Sari; Omid Voghoufi; Mohammad Rahim Eyvazi; Javad Haghgoo. "Scenarios of the Islamic Revolution Influenced by the Megatrends of the New World Order in the 2035 Horizon". , 8, 26, 1404, 121-149. doi: 10.22059/jcrir.2025.391072.1687
Zare Sari, Alireza, Voghoufi, Omid, Eyvazi, Mohammad Rahim, Haghgoo, Javad. (1404). 'Scenarios of the Islamic Revolution Influenced by the Megatrends of the New World Order in the 2035 Horizon', , 8(26), pp. 121-149. doi: 10.22059/jcrir.2025.391072.1687
Zare Sari, Alireza, Voghoufi, Omid, Eyvazi, Mohammad Rahim, Haghgoo, Javad. Scenarios of the Islamic Revolution Influenced by the Megatrends of the New World Order in the 2035 Horizon. , 1404; 8(26): 121-149. doi: 10.22059/jcrir.2025.391072.1687

Scenarios of the Islamic Revolution Influenced by the Megatrends of the New World Order in the 2035 Horizon

Contemporary Researches on Islamic Revolution
دوره 8، شماره 26، دی 2025، صفحه 121-149    اصل مقاله (1.01 M)
نوع مقاله: Science - Research
شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.22059/jcrir.2025.391072.1687
نویسندگان
Alireza Zare Sari* 1؛ Omid Voghoufi2؛ Mohammad Rahim Eyvazi3؛ Javad Haghgoo4
1PhD Candidate in Futures Studies, Imam Hussein Comprehensive University, Iran, Tehran
2Assistant Professor, Future Studies Department, Imam Hussein (AS) Research Institute, Tehran, Iran
3Professor, Faculty of Governance, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran
4Faculty Member, Faculty of Islamic Studies and Thought, University of Tehran, Tehran,Iran.
چکیده
Abstract
Objective:: The purpose of this research is to identify the scenarios for the Islamic Revolution as influenced by the megatrends of the new world order in the 2035 AD/1414 SH horizon.
Methodology: This study employs a mixed-methods approach, combining quantitative and qualitative techniques. It utilizes futures studies methods such as balanced cross-impact analysis and scenario writing, supported by Scenario Wizard and Micmac software.
Findings: From initial 1,536 scenarios generated by the software, seven core scenarios were selected based on expert opinion: "Rise of Resistance, end of resistance, fall of the eagle, new American era, and coalition against Iran, everyone's failure, and order in disorder."
Conclusions: Seven core scenarios of rise of resistance, end of resistance, fall of the eagle, new American era, coalition against Iran, everyone's failure, and order in disorder were identified and confirmed by experts as the primary scenarios.
کلیدواژه‌ها
New World Order؛ Islamic Revolution؛ Future؛ Scenario؛ Megatrend
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