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تحلیل پیشرانهای کلیدی توسعه پایدار کشاورزی در حوضه آبریز زایندهرود استان اصفهان براساس رویکرد اثرات متقاطع | ||
| تحقیقات اقتصاد و توسعه کشاورزی ایران | ||
| مقالات آماده انتشار، پذیرفته شده، انتشار آنلاین از تاریخ 01 آذر 1404 | ||
| نوع مقاله: مقاله پژوهشی | ||
| شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.22059/ijaedr.2023.361396.669230 | ||
| نویسندگان | ||
| زهرا زارعی دستکردی؛ خلیل کلانتری* ؛ علی اسدی | ||
| گروه مدیریت و توسعه کشاورزی، دانشکده کشاورزی، دانشگاه تهران، کرج، ایران | ||
| چکیده | ||
| هدف این مقاله تحلیل پیشرانهای کلیدی توسعه پایدار کشاورزی در حوضه آبریز زایندهرود استان اصفهان با رویکرد اثرات متقاطع است. پژوهش حاضر کاربردی، از نوع توصیفی-پیمایشی بود. جامعه آماری خبرگان مرتبط با توسعه کشاورزی در استان بودند. روش پژوهش : جهت جمعآوری دادهها از منابع کتابخانهای، پرسشنامه و مصاحبه استفاده گردید. برای شناسایی مؤلفهها و پیشرانهای اولیه مؤثر بر توسعه پایدار کشاورزی در حوضه آبریز زایندهرود استان اصفهان از روش دلفی و مصاحبه با نخبگان و مسئولین اجرایی استفاده شد و برای انتخاب خبرگان نیز تکنیک گلوله برفی به کار رفت. درنهایت 40 پیشران کلیدی با پهنای ماتریس 40×40 تنظیم شد. پرسشنامهها نیز بین 25 نفر از خبرگان توزیع شدند. با شناسایی مؤلفههای اولیه از طریق نرمافزار Micmac، ماتریس اثرات متقاطع با استفاده از نظر نخبگان شکل داده و با دادن امتیازدهی زوجی شاخصهای موردنظر برحسب میزان تأثیرگذاری و تأثیرپذیری آنها از صفر تا 3 مشخص شد. یافتههای پژوهش : در این پژوهش برای آیندهنگاری توسعه پایدار کشاورزی دو پیشران کلیدی شناسایی گردید که شامل توسعه کشاورزی در محیطهای کنترل شده نظیر گلخانهها و توسعه زیرساختها برای ایجاد صنایع تبدیلی و تکمیلی کشاورزی میشدند. | ||
| کلیدواژهها | ||
| آیندهنگاری؛ پیشرانهای کلیدی؛ توسعه کشاورزی؛ حوضه آبریز زایندهرود | ||
| مراجع | ||
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