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تحلیل پیشرانهای کلیدی توسعه پایدار کشاورزی در حوضه آبریز زاینده رود استان اصفهان براساس رویکرد اثرات متقاطع | ||
| تحقیقات اقتصاد و توسعه کشاورزی ایران | ||
| دوره 57، شماره 1، فروردین 1405، صفحه 85-113 اصل مقاله (2.01 M) | ||
| نوع مقاله: مقاله پژوهشی | ||
| شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.22059/ijaedr.2023.361396.669230 | ||
| نویسندگان | ||
| زهرا زارعی دستکردی1؛ خلیل کلانتری* 2؛ علی اسدی3 | ||
| 1گروه کشاورزی، دانشگاه پیام نور، تهران، ایران | ||
| 2گروه مدیریت و توسعه کشاورزی، دانشکده اقتصاد و توسعه کشاورزی، دانشگاه تهران، کرج، ایران | ||
| 3گروه مدیریت و توسعه کشاورزی، دانشکده اقتصاد وتوسعه کشاورزی، دانشگاه تهران، کرج، ایران | ||
| چکیده | ||
| هدف : هدف این مقاله تحلیل پیشران های کلیدی توسعه پایدار کشاورزی در حوضه آبریز زاینده رود استان اصفهان با رویکرد اثرات متقاطع است. پژوهش حاضر کاربردی، از نوع توصیفی-پیمایشی بود. جامعه آماری خبرگان مرتبط با توسعه کشاورزی در استان بودند. روش پژوهش : جهت جمع آوری داده ها از منابع کتابخانه ای، پرسشنامه و مصاحبه استفاده گردید. برای شناسایی مؤلفهها و پیشرانهای اولیه مؤثر بر توسعه پایدار کشاورزی در حوضه آبریز زاینده رود استان اصفهان از روش دلفی و مصاحبه با نخبگان و مسئولین اجرایی استفاده شد و برای انتخاب خبرگان نیز تکنیک گلوله برفی به کار رفت. در نهایت 40 پیشران کلیدی با پهنای ماتریس 40×40 تنظیم شد. پرسشنامه ها نیز بین 25 نفر از خبرگان توزیع شدند. با شناسایی مؤلفههای اولیه از طریق نرمافزار Micmac، ماتریس اثرات متقاطع با استفاده از نظر نخبگان شکل داده و با دادن امتیازدهی زوجی شاخصهای مورد نظر بر حسب میزان تأثیرگذاری و تأثیرپذیری آنها از صفر تا 3 مشخص شد. یافته های پژوهش : در این پژوهش برای آینده نگاری توسعه پایدار کشاورزی دو پیشران کلیدی شناسایی گردید که شامل توسعه کشاورزی در محیط های کنترل شده نظیر گلخانه ها و توسعه زیرساخت ها برای ایجاد صنایع تبدیلی و تکمیلی کشاورزی می شدند. | ||
| کلیدواژهها | ||
| آیندهنگاری؛ پیشرانهای کلیدی؛ توسعه کشاورزی؛ حوضه آبریز زایندهرود | ||
| مراجع | ||
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