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تابع ممیزی عوامل تعیین کننده تابآوری کشاورزان در برابر تغییر اقلیم (مورد مطالعه: کشاورزان حوزه آبریز رودخانه قزل اوزن، استان زنجان) | ||
تحقیقات اقتصاد و توسعه کشاورزی ایران | ||
دوره 55، شماره 1، فروردین 1403، صفحه 95-112 اصل مقاله (1.44 M) | ||
نوع مقاله: مقاله پژوهشی | ||
شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.22059/ijaedr.2020.294048.668855 | ||
نویسندگان | ||
سیده سمیه بطحائی؛ محمد چیذری* ؛ حسن صدیقی | ||
گروه ترویج و آموزش کشاورزی، دانشگاه تربیت مدرس، تهران، ایران | ||
چکیده | ||
پژوهش حاضر به بررسی و تحلیل نقش عوامل فردی-جمعیتشناختی و سرمایههای معیشتی بر شکلگیری تابآوری کشاورزان در برابر تغییر اقلیم در حوزه آبریز رودخانه قزل-اوزن استان زنجان پرداخته است. بدین منظور، از روش پیمایش بهره گرفته شد. جامعه آماری پژوهش 36281 کشاورز در حوزه مورد مطالعه بود که با استفاده از جدول نمونهگیری تصادفی کرجسی و مورگان و روش نمونهگیری طبقهای با انتساب متناسب، 384 کشاورز به عنوان نمونه انتخاب شد. ابزار جمعآوری دادهها، پرسشنامهای محقق ساخته بود که برای تعیین پایایی آن از روش آلفای کرونباخ استفاده شد. ضریب آلفای کرونباخ (705/0 تا 865/0) بهدست آمد که از پایایی مطلوب پرسشنامه حکایت میکند. برای تجزیه و تحلیل دادهها از فن تحلیل تشخیصی به روش گام به گام استفاده شد. نتایج حاصل از تحلیل تشخیصی نشان داد که متغیرهای سرمایه انسانی، تعداد سالهای تجربه کشاورزی، سرمایه اقتصادی، سرمایه فیزیکی و در نهایت سرمایه اجتماعی بر تفکیک کشاورزان از نظر تابآوری در برابر تغییر اقلیم موثر میباشند. در مجموع، میتوان بیان کرد آمار صحت پیشبینی مدل مذکور 2/67 درصد میباشد. پیشنهاد میگردد، در مطالعات آتی اثر عوامل خارجی همچون سیاستهای دولتی، رسانههای ارتباط جمعی و عوامل بازارشناختی و نهادی نیز در نظر گرفته شود. | ||
کلیدواژهها | ||
تابآوری در برابر تغییر اقلیم؛ سرمایههای معیشتی؛ عوامل فردی-جمعیتشناختی؛ تحلیل تشخیصی؛ رودخانه قزلاوزن استان زنجان | ||
مراجع | ||
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