سامانه پشتیبانی خدمات اطلاعات

  اخبار و اعلانات

 آمار

تعداد نشریات163
تعداد شماره‌ها6,878
تعداد مقالات74,135
تعداد مشاهده مقاله137,876,123
تعداد دریافت فایل اصل مقاله107,235,234
Amiri, Roghayeh, Mirzaee, Seyed Yahya, Chitsazan, Manuchehr. (1404). Evaluation and Management of Climate Change Impacts on Water Resources in Khorramabad River Basin, Iran, Using an Integrated Modeling Approach. , (), -. doi: 10.22059/geope.2025.393939.648817
Roghayeh Amiri; Seyed Yahya Mirzaee; Manuchehr Chitsazan. "Evaluation and Management of Climate Change Impacts on Water Resources in Khorramabad River Basin, Iran, Using an Integrated Modeling Approach". , , , 1404, -. doi: 10.22059/geope.2025.393939.648817
Amiri, Roghayeh, Mirzaee, Seyed Yahya, Chitsazan, Manuchehr. (1404). 'Evaluation and Management of Climate Change Impacts on Water Resources in Khorramabad River Basin, Iran, Using an Integrated Modeling Approach', , (), pp. -. doi: 10.22059/geope.2025.393939.648817
Amiri, Roghayeh, Mirzaee, Seyed Yahya, Chitsazan, Manuchehr. Evaluation and Management of Climate Change Impacts on Water Resources in Khorramabad River Basin, Iran, Using an Integrated Modeling Approach. , 1404; (): -. doi: 10.22059/geope.2025.393939.648817

Evaluation and Management of Climate Change Impacts on Water Resources in Khorramabad River Basin, Iran, Using an Integrated Modeling Approach

Geopersia
مقالات آماده انتشار، پذیرفته شده، انتشار آنلاین از تاریخ 06 مرداد 1404    اصل مقاله (2.43 M)
نوع مقاله: Research Paper
شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.22059/geope.2025.393939.648817
نویسندگان
Roghayeh Amiri؛ Seyed Yahya Mirzaee* ؛ Manuchehr Chitsazan
Faculty of Geosciences , Shahid Chamran University of Ahvaz, Iran
چکیده
Climate change is one of the most significant challenges for some arid and semi-arid regions, potentially limiting access to water resources in the future. Integrated water resource management in these areas could be a viable approach to adapt the impacts of climate change. This study examines the effects of climate change on the surface and groundwater resources of the Khorramabad River Basin using the MODFLOW and WEAP models. Initially, the current conditions of surface and groundwater resources were simulated monthly using the WEAP and MODFLOW models for the statistical period from October 2010 to September 2023. The two models were then linked, yielding values of NSE=0.87, RMSE=0.65, and R²=0.97, indicating the acceptable performance of the WEAP-MODFLOW model in simulating surface and groundwater. Subsequently, the status of surface and groundwater resources was projected for the future (2025–2060) under SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, and SSP5-8.5 scenarios. The results from these scenarios show a decline in annual average precipitation and an increase in minimum and maximum annual temperatures. According to the results of the integrated WEAP-MODFLOW model, the annual average river discharge, groundwater levels, and aquifer storage will decline under SSPs scenarios compared to the baseline period. Therefore, Climate change will hinder the availability of drinking and industrial water. Constructing the Makhmalkouh Dam could nearly fulfill the water demands for both drinking and industrial sectors across all three SSPs scenarios. This dam's construction would also mitigate groundwater level drawdown and increase aquifer storage relative to a scenario without the dam.
کلیدواژه‌ها
Climate change؛ Integrated modeling؛ WEAP-MODFLOW model؛ Makhmalkouh Dam؛ Khorramabad River Basin
آمار
تعداد مشاهده مقاله: 137
تعداد دریافت فایل اصل مقاله: 45





سامانه مدیریت نشریات علمی. قدرت گرفته از سیناوب